- hindi news
- opinion
- Bhaskar Opinion Maharashtra Jharkhand Assembly Election 2024; Exit Polls | Result Day
11 minutes agoAuthor: Navneet Gurjar, National Editor, Dainik Bhaskar
- copy link
Assembly elections were completed in Maharashtra and Jharkhand. As per tradition, exit polls also arrived. Their polls will open on 23rd November. Exit polls in Maharashtra have shown the possibility of a Mahayuti government. BJP’s victory is being reported in Jharkhand also. It is possible that the exit polls may turn out to be correct but after seeing the exit polls of the last two elections, they cannot be trusted.
Actually, the way they conduct surveys, it is very difficult to make an accurate estimate. When any person leaves the polling booth after voting, he does not tell anyone for whom he voted. Then it is not understood from where and how the surveyors of these exit polls discover the truth.
Well, if we look at voting percentage, it has increased in both Jharkhand and Maharashtra. By the way, increase in vote percentage directly means that it benefits BJP or its alliance. The advantage is that the traditional voter of Congress and other opposition parties always votes.
Not all BJP voters come out of their homes to vote. When he comes out, the vote percentage increases. That vote ultimately proves to be decisive. RSS does this work for BJP to increase vote percentage. Its volunteers motivate more and more people to come out of their homes and vote. This remains their strategy. It is believed that all these votes go in favor of BJP.
However, this mathematics is also not correct regarding Maharashtra. There are six big parties in the fray here. Among the groups of three in which they are divided, it is difficult to get ideas together.
If seen in Mahayuti, the views of Ajit Dada’s party do not match with those of BJP and Shinde Sena. If we look at the Maha Aghadi, the views of Uddhav Sena do not match those of Congress and Pawar. Overall, they remain companions of compulsion.
After the elections are over, the election results and subsequent government formation are important. Whoever gets the majority in Maharashtra, choosing the Chief Minister will be a very complicated matter.
Although the decision in Mahayuti has to be taken from above, the biggest question is whether Eknath Shinde, who had once been the Chief Minister, will be able to tolerate a BJP Chief Minister.
There are even more complications in Maha Aghadi. For the post of Chief Minister, Uddhav left the BJP for years, whether he will be able to remain without this post even if he gets less seats, is a tricky question. However, on November 23, we will know who will go where and who will form whose government!